Monetary alchemy, fiscal science

Jeffrey Frankel, 29 January 2013

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The year 2013 marks the 100th anniversary of two major institutional innovations in US economic policy:

Topics: Global crisis, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: Federal Reserve, fiscal policy, Great Depression, Keynes, monetary policy

Central banks can phase in nominal GDP targets without damaging the inflation anchor

Jeffrey Frankel, 19 December 2012

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The time is right for the world’s central banks to reconsider the framework they use in conducting monetary policy. The US Federal Reserve and the ECB are still grappling with sustained economic weakness, despite years of low interest rates.

Topics: Monetary policy
Tags: inflation targeting, monetary policy, nominal GDP targeting

Swiss National Bank under attack

Michael J Lamla, Jan-Egbert Sturm, 9 November 2012

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After the international uproar had abated over the policy adopted by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in the first half of 2012, a certain level of sympathy for the situation in Switzerland had remained, Yet, the SNB has yet again been confronted with another barrage of accusations; Standard & Poor’s led the charge, accusing the SNB of exacerbating the crisis in the Eurozone by pegging t

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Exchange rates, Monetary policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, exchange rate policy, monetary policy

Currency intervention as global monetary easing: The case of Japan in 2003-04

Petra Gerlach-Kristen, Robert McCauley, Kazuo Ueda, 7 November 2012

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One consequence of monetary easing in major economies most affected by the financial crisis is the subsequent currency appreciation in apparently separate economies that are less affected by the crisis, such as those of Japan, Switzerland, and many emerging economies.

Topics: Exchange rates, Financial markets, Global crisis, International finance
Tags: bonds, Eurozone crisis, exchange rates, Japan, monetary policy

Vietnam’s economic development: Policies, challenges and prospects for the future

Sarah Chan, 24 October 2012

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Facing cyclical and structural challenges that are arguably as significant as any moment since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Vietnam’s real GDP growth has markedly decelerated in recent times. From an annualised performance of 6.8% in 2010, it fell to 5.9% in 2011 falling further to 4.4% in the beginning of 2012.

Topics: Development, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: growth, monetary policy, Vietnam

How central banks contributed to the financial crisis

Michael Biggs, Thomas Mayer, 10 September 2012

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As numerous studies over the last two decades have shown, interest rate policies of a large number of central banks can be explained by the so-called Taylor Rule. According to this rule, which is consistent with inflation targeting, the policy rate is determined by a neutral real rate, the target inflation rate, the output gap, and the deviation of inflation from the target (or expected) rate.

Topics: Global crisis, Monetary policy
Tags: global crisis, inflation targeting, monetary policy

Time for international monetary coordination

Paolo Manasse, 3 September 2012

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Many observers of the European Sovereign debt saga had long realised that the ECB was the only European institution up to the task of avoiding a breakup of the euro (see for instance Eichengreen 2009 on this site). The newly forged institutions, the ESFS/ESM, are both ill designed and inadequately funded (Manasse 2011).

Topics: EU policies, Global governance, Monetary policy
Tags: Eurozone crisis, monetary policy

The (other) deleveraging: What economists need to know about the modern money creation process

Manmohan Singh, Peter Stella, 2 July 2012

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One of the financial system’s chief roles is to provide credit for worthy investments. Some very deep changes are happening to this system – changes that surprisingly few people are aware of.

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: Central Banks, monetary policy, money multiplier, Pledged collateral, private money creation, re-pledging

Breaking the vicious cycle: Restoring balanced and sustainable growth in the global economy

Stephen Cecchetti, Boris Hofmann, 29 June 2012

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Moving the global economy back to a path of balanced, self-sustaining growth remains a difficult and unfinished task (see for instance Prasad and Foda 2012). Three challenges stand out.

Topics: Global crisis, Global economy, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: fiscal policy, monetary policy, structural adjustments, Sustainable growth

On Inflation Targeting and Forex Intervention: Are Two Targets Better Than One?

Jonathan D Ostry, Atish R Ghosh, Marcos Chamon, 27 May 2012

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The global financial crisis has reminded emerging market economies, if they needed reminding, that capital flows can be highly volatile and that crises need not be home grown. Emerging markets have been affected in a variety of ways, not least by the sharp ups and downs in exchange rates that volatile capital flows engender.

Topics: Monetary policy
Tags: emerging markets, exchange-rate policy, monetary policy