Nearly all of the empirical research on exchange rates is focused on the impact of their changes on the country experiencing or undertaking them. This is true of the older, voluminous literature on the trade consequences of exchange rates (surveyed in Goldstein and Khan 1985), as well as more recent contributions like Rodrik (2008) and Berman et al. (2012).
Beggar-thy-neighbours? Spillover effects of exchange rates
Aaditya Mattoo, Arvind Subramanian, Prachi Mishra, 23 March 2012
China’s economic rebalancing is already underway
Yiping Huang, 17 February 2012
The international community, and particularly policymakers in the US, put great expectations on the contribution that China can make to a global economic recovery by rebalancing its economy through promoting consumption growth (see, for example, O’Neill 2010 on this site).
The renminbi’s prospects as a global reserve currency
Eswar Prasad, Lei (Sandy) Ye, 16 February 2012
Popular discussions about the prospects of China’s currency – the renminbi – range from the view that it is on the threshold of becoming the dominant global reserve currency to the concern that rapid capital-account opening poses serious risks for China.
Does the renminbi matter? Evidence from China’s disaggregated processed exports
Willem Thorbecke, 29 January 2012
China’s surging exports and its exchange rate have elicited consternation from economists, politicians, and pundits. How would a stronger renminbi affect China’s exports and its trade surplus? China’s entire surplus is in a customs regime called processing trade.
Rogue aid? On the importance of political institutions and natural resources for China’s allocation of foreign aid
Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs, 27 January 2012
In an obvious reference to China, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton recently warned during her visit to Burma to “[b]e wary of donors who are more interested in extracting your resources than in building your capacity” (quoted in FT 2011).
Are China and India converging?
Ejaz Ghani, 23 January 2012
Both China and India have attracted global attention for rapid growth, but their growth patterns are very different (Rajan 2006, Pack 2008, Bosworth and Maertens 2010). China took the conventional route of manufacturing-led growth and is recognised as a global leader in manufactured exports.
Global value chains are not all born identical: Policymakers beware
Carlo Altomonte, Filippo di Mauro, Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Vincent Vicard, Armando Rungi, 4 January 2012
Global value chains are increasingly important in international trade. The breakup of goods and services production between different companies often operating in different parts of the world (creating a ‘global’ value chain) can be seen all around us.
The contribution of Chinese FDI to Africa’s pre-crisis growth surge
John Whalley, Aaron Weisbrod, 21 December 2011
In the three years before the 2008 financial crisis, GDP growth in sub-Saharan Africa (averaged over individual economies) was around 6%, 2 percentage points above the mean growth in the preceding ten years. This period also coincided with significant Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) flows into these countries, accounting for as much as 10% of total inward FDI for some countries.
China’s dominance hypothesis and the emergence of a tripolar global currency system
Marcel Fratzscher, Arnaud Mehl, 15 December 2011
The 2007–08 global financial crisis has brought the reform of the international monetary system back to the forefront of the international policy debate. Some G20 leaders, notably from emerging economies, are questioning the configuration of the current system based on a single currency, the US dollar, as global reference currency, and the euro, as a more regional currency.
The renminbi and poor-country growth
Helmut Reisen, 5 December 2011
China’s current-account surplus over the past two decades can be explained in large part by its savings rate. Song et al (2010) have stressed the role of rising corporate savings due to reallocation within the manufacturing sector from low- to high-productivity companies. Wei (2010), meanwhile, explains China’s rising household savings with gender imbalances.
- A tale of two depressions: What do the new data tell us? February 2010 updateEichengreen, O’Rourke
- Educated in America: College graduates and high school dropoutsHeckman, LaFontaine
- Eurozone breakup would trigger the mother of all financial crisesEichengreen
- Panic-driven austerity in the Eurozone and its implicationsDe Grauwe, Ji
- Debt, deleveraging, and the liquidity trap: A new modelKrugman
Cadot, de Melo, 16 June 2014