There are similarities in the nature of the economic problems facing affected economies around the world:
A pro-growth economic plan
Richard Wood, 11 May 2013
We may have avoided the cliffs, but we still face high mountains
Olivier Blanchard, 13 February 2013
Optimism is in the air, particularly in financial markets. And some cautious optimism may indeed be justified.
Compared to where we were at the same time last year, acute risks have decreased. The US has avoided the fiscal cliff, and the euro explosion in Europe did not occur. And uncertainty is lower.
This time is different, again? The US five years after the onset of subprime
Carmen M Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff, 22 October 2012
Five years after the onset of the 2007 subprime financial crisis:
- GDP per capita in the US remains below its initial level;
- Unemployment, although down from its peak, is still hovering near 8%.
Rather than the V-shaped recovery that is typical of most postwar recessions, growth has been slow and halting.
Have the US and European economies parted company? The signals are increasingly clear
Lucrezia Reichlin, Domenico Giannone, Jasper McMahon, Saverio Simonelli, 2 May 2012
According to the NBER (2012), the last recession ended in June of 2009. CEPR (2012) dates the end of the recession in the Eurozone in the same quarter. For the UK, there is no established chronology but a visual inspection of Figure 1 shows that the recession and the subsequent recovery in the three economies have been highly synchronised.
Divergence of fortunes in recoveries
Prakash Loungani, M Ayhan Kose, Marco E Terrones, 24 April 2012
The last global recession was the deepest of the four recessions the world has experienced since World War II. Each recession led to fears of economic apocalypse but the global economy recovered in a year or two. Because of the depth of the last recession, some analysts worried that the world would relive the Great Depression of the 1930s.
A fragile and fickle recovery
Eswar Prasad, Karim Foda, 23 April 2012
The world economy remains on life support, largely provided by accommodative central banks.
Inclusive crises and exclusive recoveries?
Ronald U Mendoza , 9 June 2010
It has now been about two years since the first international food price shocks erupted in 2008. Even as recent news reports have begun to celebrate the first tentative signs of global economic recovery, a growing number of analysts have begun to warn of its fragility.
The lingering effects of financial crises
Prakash Kannan, 19 November 2009
The prospects for recovery from the 2008 global financial crisis appear to be on the horizon.
Financial crises are different! Refining the Reinhart-Rogoff estimates
Stephen Cecchetti, Marion Kohler, Christian Upper, 28 October 2009
In recent writings, Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff have drawn lessons from previous financial crises to predict the fallout from the current crisis (see Reinhart 2009 and Reinhart and Rogoff 2008a,b, 2009).
- Fiscal consolidation: At what speed?Blanchard, Leigh
- Public debt and economic growth, one more timePanizza, Presbitero
- Escaping liquidity traps: Lessons from the UK’s 1930s escapeCrafts
- The lessons of the North Atlantic crisis for economic theory and policyStiglitz
- Rethinking macroeconomic policyBlanchard
- A tale of two depressions: What do the new data tell us? February 2010 updateEichengreen, O’Rourke
- Educated in America: College graduates and high school dropoutsHeckman, LaFontaine
- Eurozone breakup would trigger the mother of all financial crisesEichengreen
- Debt, deleveraging, and the liquidity trap: A new modelKrugman
- Panic-driven austerity in the Eurozone and its implicationsDe Grauwe, Ji
Reichlin, Baldwin, 14 April 2013