The coming revolt against austerity

Charles Wyplosz, 2 May 2012

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It is not just the election of François Hollande in France. Adopting contractionary fiscal policies in the teeth of a double-dip recession never made sense. And yet, public debts are high and markets in endemic panic. The solution must be based on a comprehensive analysis of the situation, not on arcane debates on the strength of the “confidence factor”.

Topics: EU policies, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, eurozone, fiscal policy

Fiscal consolidation: Too much of a good thing?

John Van Reenen, 27 April 2012

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This week’s political events in the Netherlands and France which look likely to lead to government dissolution, have been interpreted as a set-back for the pace of fiscal consolidation in Europe with popular resentment punishing incumbent leaders (“Leaders in Austerity Backlash” was the headline of the Financial Times on 24 April 2012).

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, Bond market, eurozone, fiscal consolidation

Is high public debt harmful for economic growth?

Ugo Panizza, Andrea F Presbitero, 22 April 2012

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It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.
-- Mark Twain

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, Eurozone crisis, sovereign debt

Fiscal austerity and policy credibility

Marco Buti, Lucio R Pench, 20 April 2012

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The renewed phase of tension in Europe, and the Eurozone in particular, since the second half of 2011, with the prospect of a double-dip recession alternating with that of a sovereign-debt crisis, has reignited the debate on fiscal austerity, to which European governments have been committed since the end of the most acute phase of the crisis in 2009.

Topics: EU policies, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, eurozone, fiscal policy

The austerity debate: Festina lente!

Carlo Cottarelli, 20 April 2012

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The austerity debate would not be as heated if commentators focused on the current state of the world economy, rather than on how economies work in normal times. If they did, they would see that a pragmatic approach – proceed with moderate adjustment, at a steady pace, if markets allow you to do so – is the best course of action.

Topics: EU policies, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, Eurozone crisis, fiscal policy

Too early to sound the alarm

Manfred J M Neumann, 17 April 2012

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Debt finance of public consumption has clearly gone too far in several countries. Too far in the sense that it has reached if not exceeded the borderline of sustainability. Have austerity measures meanwhile gone too far, too?

Topics: EU policies, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, eurozone, fiscal policy

Has austerity gone too far?

Giancarlo Corsetti, 2 April 2012

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Fiscal tightening is the watchword all across Europe. The measures adopted so far have not yet proved to be a cure-all for financial market concerns about debt sustainability. They have, however, coincided with renewed economic slowdown or even contraction. This brings into question the desirability of fiscal austerity.1

Topics: Macroeconomic policy, Politics and economics
Tags: austerity, fiscal policy

Fiscal consolidations for debt-to-GDP ratio containment? Maybe … but with much care

Gianluca Cafiso, Roberto Cellini, 20 March 2012

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In recent time a wide debate has been developing concerning the effects of restrictive fiscal policies on the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio (eg Corsetti and Müller 2012). The debate is nourished by the current experience of EU countries, where fiscal-consolidation policies are implemented.

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, debt, eurozone

Can austerity be self-defeating?

Daniel Gros, 29 November 2011

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Could ‘austerity’ be self-defeating? Could a reduction in government expenditure lead to such a strong fall in activity that fiscal performance indicators actually get worse?

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, Eurozone crisis, Fiscal crisis, UK

The Italian situation: Clarification and a prediction

Alberto Alesina, Francesco Giavazzi, 13 September 2011

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Under pressure from the bond market and the European Central Bank, Italy has adopted a budget that implies a sharp shift in fiscal stance.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, Macroeconomic policy, Politics and economics
Tags: austerity, Debt crisis, Eurozone crisis, Italy