Distilling the macroeconomic news flow
Alessandro Beber, Michael W Brandt, Maurizio Luisi 19 April 2013
Timely measurement of the state of the economy traditionally relies on low-frequency observations of a few economic aggregates referring to previous weeks, months, or even quarters. This column presents a new method of a real-time approach to timely and more accurate macroeconomic news.
Timely measurement of the state of the economy relies traditionally on low-frequency observations of a few economic aggregates that refer to previous weeks, months, or even quarters. A prominent example is the advance estimate of GDP released quarterly about a month after the end of the quarter.
Contagion during the Greek sovereign debt crisis
Jakob de Haan, Mark Mink 23 February 2012
Since 2010, Eurozone countries have engaged in unprecedented rescue operations to avoid contagion from a potential Greek sovereign default. This column argues that news about Greek public finances does not affect Eurozone bank stock prices, while news about a Greek bailout does. This suggests that markets consider news about a Greek bailout to be a signal of Eurozone countries’ willingness to use public funds to combat the financial crisis.
In the course of 2010, the financial problems of Greece became so severe that the Eurozone countries together with the IMF agreed to provide emergency loans for a total amount of €110 billion, to be disbursed over the period May 2010 through June 2013. In addition, the European Financial Stability Facility was created, which issues bonds fully guaranteed by Eurozone countries and, after an enlargement in 2011, can provide up to €440 billion in financial support to distressed member states.
Financial markets International finance
banks, Greece, sovereign default, news