From financial crash to debt crisis

Carmen M Reinhart interviewed by Romesh Vaitilingam, 9 Apr 2010

Carmen Reinhart of the University of Maryland talks to Romesh Vaitilingam about the sequencing of the cycle of debt build-ups – from private debt surges to banking crises to sovereign debt crises – and the four ‘deadly D’s’ that once again threaten many governments as a consequence of the current crisis – deficits, debt, downgrade and default. The interview was recorded at the Royal Economic Society’s annual conference at the University of Surrey in March 2010.

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Topics: Financial markets, Global crisis, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: banking crises, debt, sovereign debt

Restructuring sovereign debt, 1950–2010: From process to outcomes

Udaibir S Das, Michael G. Papaioannou, Christoph Trebesch, 28 November 2012

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Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) provide an impressive account of the history of sovereign debt crises over the past 200 years. However, they do not discuss the patterns of crisis resolution in detail. How frequent are sovereign debt restructurings? What amounts have been restructured? How long does it take to restructure sovereign bonds or loans?

Topics: International finance
Tags: crises, restructuring, sovereign debt

Sovereign debt sustainability in Spain and Italy

William R. Cline, 30 August 2012

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After a brief easing in sovereign interest rates for Italy and Spain following nearly €1 trillion in LTRO (long-term refinancing operation) lending to Eurozone banks by the ECB at the turn of the year, in the second quarter of 2012 these rates rebounded.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, International finance
Tags: Eurozone crisis, Eurozone Debt Crisis, Italy, sovereign debt, Spain

Euro-coupons: Mutualise the interest payments, not the principal

João Fonseca, Pedro Santa-Clara, 11 May 2012

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Whether a country is solvent depends on the interest rate it is charged. There are two possible equilibriums. In the good equilibrium, investors believe the country will pay its debt and demand a low interest rate, which makes the solvency self-fulfilling.

Topics: EU institutions, International finance
Tags: Euro-coupon, eurobonds, sovereign debt

Is high public debt harmful for economic growth?

Ugo Panizza, Andrea F Presbitero, 22 April 2012

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It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.
-- Mark Twain

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: austerity, Eurozone crisis, sovereign debt

A tale of two overhangs: The nexus of financial sector and sovereign credit risks

Viral Acharya, Philipp Schnabl, Itamar Drechsler, 15 April 2012

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From 2007 to 2010, the Irish public debt-to-GDP ratio rose roughly 20% annually, taking it from among the lowest among OECD countries in 2007 (25%) to among the highest in 2010 (96%).

Topics: Global crisis, International finance
Tags: Bailouts, Eurozone crisis, fiscal crises, sovereign debt

In the slipstream of the Greek debt exchange

Jeromin Zettelmeyer, Mitu Gulati, 5 March 2012

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One of the most interesting questions arising from the ongoing Greek debt restructuring is what it implies about the feasibility – or lack of feasibility – of ‘voluntary’ debt restructurings.

Topics: Europe's nations and regions, International finance
Tags: bonds, EZ crisis, Greece, sovereign debt

The unexplained part of public debt

Camila FS Campos, Dany Jaimovich, Ugo Panizza, 17 January 2012

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The answer to the question “How do countries get into debt?” seems trivial. The stock of debt is equal to the sum of past budget deficits. Countries accumulate debt whenever they run a budget deficit and reduce their debt when they run a budget surplus.

Topics: Macroeconomic policy
Tags: fiscal crises, sovereign debt

How much capital do European banks need? Some estimates

Viral Acharya, Dirk Schoenmaker, Sascha Steffen, 22 November 2011

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The European banking system is freezing up. Several banks are not able to fund themselves in the market. The lack of market confidence in European banks is fed by the ongoing uncertainty about Eurozone sovereign debt (as well as real estate) to which these banks are exposed.

Topics: Financial markets, International finance
Tags: banks, eurozone, recapitalisation, sovereign debt

Consequences of the new EU debt-reduction rule

Gianluca Cafiso, Roberto Cellini, 3 November 2011

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In March 2011, the EU countries agreed on the rules for stronger EU economic governance. Debt levels and trajectories will now be a criterion in the assessment of public finances in the context of the Excessive Deficit Procedure (EDP).

Topics: EU policies, Europe's nations and regions
Tags: debt-reduction rule, Eurozone crisis, sovereign debt

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