The renewed phase of tension in Europe, and the Eurozone in particular, since the second half of 2011, with the prospect of a double-dip recession alternating with that of a sovereign-debt crisis, has reignited the debate on fiscal austerity, to which European governments have been committed since the end of the most acute phase of the crisis in 2009.
Fiscal austerity and policy credibility
Marco Buti, Lucio R Pench, 20 April 2012
Is the euro rescue succeeding? An update
Uri Dadush, Zaahira Wyne, 20 April 2012
The current gyrations of sentiment over government-bond spreads are diverting attention from the real issue – the Eurozone periphery needs a big realignment towards the tradable sector to reignite growth sustainably.
Too early to sound the alarm
Manfred J M Neumann, 17 April 2012
Debt finance of public consumption has clearly gone too far in several countries. Too far in the sense that it has reached if not exceeded the borderline of sustainability. Have austerity measures meanwhile gone too far, too?
The EZ breakup contest: Take ignorance seriously
Richard Baldwin, 10 April 2012
The Eurozone might not survive in its current form. Buiter and Rahbari (2012) put a likelihood of 50% on Greek exit – an event that would be something between an historic event and a global economic catastrophe (depending on how it was handled).
The problems of European monetary union – asymmetric shocks or asymmetric behaviour?
Andrea Boltho, Wendy Carlin, 31 March 2012
Much of the literature that was sceptical of the prospective success of the euro feared the effects of Mundellian asymmetric shocks on an area which (unlike the US) had little inter-country labour mobility and no common fiscal policy.
From vicious to virtuous: A five-point plan for Eurozone restoration
Marco Buti, Pier Carlo Padoan, 27 March 2012
Download CEPR Policy Insight No. 61 here .  http://voxeu.org/sites/default/files/file/PolicyInsight61.pdf
From a vicious to a virtuous circle in the Eurozone - the time is ripe
Marco Buti, Pier Carlo Padoan, 27 March 2012
The economic and financial crisis in the Eurozone is in its fourth year. In late 2011, it had evolved dangerously into a vicious circle of sluggish growth, tensions in sovereign debt markets and banking sector fragility.
Fiscal consolidations for debt-to-GDP ratio containment? Maybe … but with much care
Gianluca Cafiso, Roberto Cellini, 20 March 2012
In recent time a wide debate has been developing concerning the effects of restrictive fiscal policies on the dynamics of the debt-to-GDP ratio (eg Corsetti and Müller 2012). The debate is nourished by the current experience of EU countries, where fiscal-consolidation policies are implemented.
Fed versus ECB: How Target debts can be repaid
Hans-Werner Sinn, 10 March 2012
Now that Bundesbank President Jens Weidman has expressed his concern about the rising TARGET balances within the Eurozone in an official letter to Mario Draghi, the issue can no longer be swept under the carpet. In February, the Bundesbank had a TARGET claim of €547 billion on the Eurosystem, while the Dutch central bank had one of €171 billion in January.
Brinkmanship in Brussels, Sturm and Drachma for Greece and Europe
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, 1 March 2012
Just as it did when Congress recently extended the payroll tax cut, brinkmanship has produced an early-morning deal in Europe to extend a new lifeline to Greece and clear the way for the biggest sovereign bond restructuring in history.
- Fiscal consolidation: At what speed?Blanchard, Leigh
- Escaping liquidity traps: Lessons from the UK’s 1930s escapeCrafts
- The lessons of the North Atlantic crisis for economic theory and policyStiglitz
- Helicopter money as a policy optionReichlin, Turner, Woodford
- Rethinking macroeconomic policyBlanchard
- A tale of two depressions: What do the new data tell us? February 2010 updateEichengreen, O’Rourke
- Educated in America: College graduates and high school dropoutsHeckman, LaFontaine
- Eurozone breakup would trigger the mother of all financial crisesEichengreen
- Debt, deleveraging, and the liquidity trap: A new modelKrugman
- Panic-driven austerity in the Eurozone and its implicationsDe Grauwe, Ji
Reichlin, Baldwin, 14 April 2013
Reichlin, Turner, Woodford
CEPR Policy Research
- The "Greatest" Carry Trade Ever? Understanding Eurozone Bank RisksAcharya, Steffen
- Political Credit Cycles: The Case of the Euro ZoneFernández-Villaverde, Garicano, Santos
- Winning by Losing: Incentive Incompatibility in Multiple QualifiersDagaev, Sonin
- Income and schoolingBrückner, Gradstein
- Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price BubblesGalí
- How the EZ crisis is permanently changing EU institutionsMicossi
- WTO 2.0: Global governance of supply-chain tradeBaldwin
- Is US economic growth over? Faltering innovation confronts the six headwindsGordon
- The economic crisis: How to stimulate economies without increasing public debtWood
- Austerity: Too Much of a Good Thing?Corsetti