Why Europe needs two euros, not one

Jacques Melitz 02 July 2014

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One basic feature of the sickly situation in the Eurozone today is that the system does not clearly bear any essential flaw from the standpoint of Germany. All things considered, the country has not done badly since the Great Recession of 2008-2010. And as the Eurozone moves forward gingerly with necessary reforms in order to avoid a break-up of the system, it is evident that Germany is constantly under pressure to go further with concessions than it would prefer.

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Topics:  EU institutions EU policies

Tags:  Germany, eurozone, second common currency

Saving the euro: self-fulfilling crisis and the ‘Draghi put’

Marcus Miller, Lei Zhang 26 June 2014

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In surveying eight centuries of financial folly, Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) observed that:

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Topics:  International finance Monetary policy

Tags:  ECB, eurozone, sovereign debt, financial crises, sovereign debt crisis, Outright Monetary Transactions, European sovereign debt crisis, self-fulfilling crises

Has the Great Recession harmed the long-term growth prospects of the Eurozone economy?

Philippe Weil interviewed by Viv Davies,

Date Published

Fri, 06/20/2014

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See Also

CEPR Business Cycle Dating Committee (2014), "Eurozone mired in recession pause", VoxEU.org, 17 June.

CEPR Business Cycle Dating Committee (2014), "Euro Area Mired in Recession Pause", www.cepr.org, 11 June.

 

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Topics

Europe's nations and regions Global crisis
Tags
eurozone, growth, GDP, recession, business cycles, CEPR, trough, business cycle dating, expansion, peak

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Recoveries: The missing third phase of the business cycle When did the Eurozone recession end? The US recession ended in May Eurozone in recession since 3rd quarter 2011
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Eurozone mired in recession pause

CEPR Business Cycle Dating Committee 17 June 2014

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The CEPR Business Cycle Dating Committee met on 11 June 2014 to determine whether the Eurozone is out of the recession that started after 2011Q3. The duty of the Committee – comprised of Philippe Weil (Chair), Domenico Giannone, Refet Gürkaynak, Monika Merz, Richard Portes, Lucrezia Reichlin, Albrecht Ritschl, Barbara Rossi, and Karl Whelan – is to date peaks and troughs of the Eurozone business cycle, marking recessions and expansions – a role similar to that of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee in the US.

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Topics:  Europe's nations and regions Global crisis

Tags:  eurozone, growth, GDP, recession, business cycles, CEPR, trough, business cycle dating, expansion, peak

Lacklustre investment in the Eurozone: Is there a puzzle?

Marco Buti, Philipp Mohl 04 June 2014

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On the importance of investment for the Eurozone economy

According to the European Commission’s most recent forecast, real economic activity in the Eurozone is expected to recover at a moderate pace until 2015, and to remain significantly weaker than in the US (European Commission 2014a).

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Topics:  EU policies Macroeconomic policy

Tags:  eurozone, growth, European Commission, investment, uncertainty, structural reforms, Bankruptcy, Eurozone crisis, public investment, banking union, financial fragmentation

Eurozone external adjustment and real exchange rate movements: The role of firm productivity distribution

Filippo di Mauro, Francesco Pappadà 02 June 2014

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A corollary of the Eurozone crisis has been an unusually large current-account surplus for the Eurozone as a whole, resulting from a combination of strong external demand and rapid readjustment of external accounts in the Eurozone countries that had previously accumulated large imbalances.

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Topics:  Europe's nations and regions Exchange rates

Tags:  eurozone, exchange rates, productivity, imbalances, exports, rebalancing

Italy and the euro: Myths and realities

Paolo Manasse, Tommaso Nannicini, Alessandro Saia 24 May 2014

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A spectre is haunting Europe – the spectre of the euro. In the wake of the European elections of 25 May, the debate on the pros and cons of the euro – in Italy and throughout the Eurozone – are dominated by partisan politics. The empirical evidence is often distorted to suit one’s need.

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Topics:  Monetary policy

Tags:  eurozone

ECB: An appropriate monetary policy

Mickey Levy 16 May 2014

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Europe’s modest economic recovery and uncomfortably low inflation put the ECB in a bind. Although economic conditions are improving gradually (European Commission 2014), concerns about the potentially negative impacts of deflation persist (Armstrong et al. 2014). The ECB’s top near-term priorities are to avoid deflation (and apparently even sustained low inflation) and extend the economic recovery.

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Topics:  Monetary policy

Tags:  ECB, eurozone, monetary policy, quantitative easing, bank lending

How the euro changed the pattern of international debt flows

Galina Hale, Maurice Obstfeld 15 May 2014

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Internal financial imbalances within the Eurozone were central to the development of the European debt crisis. They resulted in a concentration of European periphery risks on the balance sheets of banks located in core Eurozone countries (Lane 2012, Rey 2012, Shin 2012). They also promoted larger intra-Eurozone current-account deficits and a sharp fall in peripheral bond yields, accompanied by a loss of competitiveness of the peripheral economies, most strikingly relative to Germany (Chen et al. 2013, Shambaugh 2012).

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Topics:  EU institutions Financial markets

Tags:  eurozone, Debt crisis

The increasing competitiveness of the southern Eurozone

Raphael Auer 11 April 2014

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Current-account (CA) rebalancing is a necessary step for the Southern EZ countries to overcome their debt and external balance of payments crises.1 Figure 1 documents the impressive speed and magnitude of the southern EZ’s CA rebalancing.

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Topics:  Europe's nations and regions International finance

Tags:  eurozone, Eurozone crisis, current account rebalancing

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