Just as it did when Congress recently extended the payroll tax cut, brinkmanship has produced an early-morning deal in Europe to extend a new lifeline to Greece and clear the way for the biggest sovereign bond restructuring in history.
Brinkmanship in Brussels, Sturm and Drachma for Greece and Europe
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, 1 March 2012
Apart from the fiscal compact – on competitiveness, nominal wages and labour productivity
Marga Peeters, Ard den Reijer, 3 January 2012
Eurozone members that face the consequences of severe asymmetric shocks can, in the absence of labour mobility, accommodate by means of fiscal transfers. In order to avoid becoming a one-way transfer union from the core to the periphery, the EU needs to address structural imbalances and persistent current-account deficits and surpluses that are due to real exchange-rate misalignment.
Deleveraging in the Eurozone
Vincent O'Sullivan, Stephen Kinsella, 17 December 2011
The capital shortfall at EU banks is 8% higher than originally thought, according to the latest assessment from the European Banking Authority (EBA 2011) released on 8 December.
From trade to domestic collapse? On the complementarity between exports and domestic sales
Nicolas Berman, Antoine Berthou, Jérôme Héricourt, 16 December 2011
The Eurozone is close to slipping into a recession. The most recent OECD forecasts point to an average growth of 0.2% of GDP in volume within the EZ151 in 2012, ranging from -3% (Greece and Portugal) and -0.5% (Italy), to +0.6% (Germany) and +1% (Ireland).
The interplay of sovereign spreads and banks’ fragility in the Eurozone
Damiano Sandri, Ashoka Mody, 23 November 2011
European policymakers are confronting a heightened crisis characterised by a perverse and seemingly intractable interplay between sovereign debt pressures and financial-sector fragilities (Wolff 2011). Three questions arise:
How much capital do European banks need? Some estimates
Viral Acharya, Dirk Schoenmaker, Sascha Steffen, 22 November 2011
The European banking system is freezing up. Several banks are not able to fund themselves in the market. The lack of market confidence in European banks is fed by the ongoing uncertainty about Eurozone sovereign debt (as well as real estate) to which these banks are exposed.
The Eurozone needs exit rules
Cezary Wójcik, Christian Fahrholz , 31 October 2011
With the sovereign debt crisis spreading across Europe and in the run-up to the next EU Summit there is no shortage of suggestions on how to save the Eurozone. Unfortunately, the majority of these suggestions have one of the following flaws.
Is the recent bank stress really driven by the sovereign debt crisis?
Guntram Wolff, 30 October 2011
Stress in the interbank market has increased significantly since July (Figure 1). There is now a significant debate on why this is the case and what would be the best way to address it (Financial Times 2011).1 Many have argued that the sovereign debt crisis isthe most important driver of banking stress in the Eurozone.
Resolving the current European mess
Charles Wyplosz, 25 October 2011
Editors' note: This column forms part of a VoxEU.org eBook 'The Future of Banking', to be published on Tuesday 25 October.
ESBies: A realistic reform of Europe's financial architecture
The Undersigned, 25 October 2011
The current European crisis has exposed several flaws in the design of the Eurozone financial system. It was internally inconsistent. On the one hand, it imposed a ‘no-bail out clause’ ruling out any bailout to ensure that interest rate differentials provide a clear signal about the buildup of imbalances.
- A tale of two depressions: What do the new data tell us? February 2010 updateEichengreen, O’Rourke
- The ECB’s stealth bailoutSinn
- Educated in America: College graduates and high school dropoutsHeckman, LaFontaine
- Eurozone breakup would trigger the mother of all financial crisesEichengreen
- Panic-driven austerity in the Eurozone and its implicationsDe Grauwe, Ji
CEPR Policy Research
- The buyer margins of firms' exportsCarballo, Ottaviano, Volpe
- Commodity and Equity Markets: Some Stylized Facts from a Copula ApproachDelatte, Lopez
- Ethnic Unemployment Rates and Frictional MarketsGobillon, Rupert, Wasmer
- Finance and Poverty: Evidence from IndiaAyyagari, Beck, Hoseini
- The Manipulation of Basel Risk-WeightsMariathasan, Merrouche