Some East Asian countries experienced a serious currency crisis in 1997. The crisis was blamed on both the de facto US dollar peg system and double mismatches of domestic financial institutions’ balance sheets in terms of currency and maturity. Following the Asian currency crisis, recognition of the importance of regional monetary cooperation has steadily grown.
How did the Global Financial Crisis misalign East Asian currencies?
Eiji Ogawa, Zhiqian Wang, 19 January 2014
Policymaking in crises: Pick your poison
Kristin Forbes, Michael W Klein, 24 December 2013
In 2010, the Brazilian finance minister Guido Mantenga declared a ‘currency war’ because of the harmful effects of the strengthening of the real. He blamed the currency’s appreciation on easy money in advanced countries, and to a lesser extent on reserve accumulation in some emerging markets.
Tapering talk: The impact of expectations of reduced Federal Reserve security purchases on emerging markets
Barry Eichengreen, Poonam Gupta, 19 December 2013
In May 2013, Federal Reserve officials first began to talk of the possibility of the US central bank tapering its securities purchases from $85 billion a month to something lower. A milestone to which many observers point is 22 May 2013, when Chairman Bernanke raised the possibility of tapering in his testimony to Congress.
Are exchange rates predictable?
Barbara Rossi , 14 November 2013
The predictability of exchange rates is a crucial question in international finance and macroeconomics. Policy decisions of central banks and policymakers all over the world rely, directly or indirectly, on exchange rate forecasts. The same holds for private business and practitioners' decisions.
Should Brazil’s central bank be selling foreign reserves?
Márcio Garcia, 25 September 2013
The US dollar’s rise in August and the Brazilian Central Bank’s (BCB) interventions in forex markets have started a debate about whether the BCB should keep on intervening as it has been doing, mostly via currency derivatives markets, or if it should also be selling its international reserves.
The real exchange rate and export growth: Are services different?
Barry Eichengreen, Poonam Gupta, 18 January 2013
The role of exports in economic growth and, in turn, of the real exchange rate in export promotion features prominently in literature on development and globalisation (Rodrik 2009, Haddad and Pancaro 2010). Much of this literature dates, however, from an era when ‘exports’ meant ‘exports of merchandise‘.
Currency intervention as global monetary easing: The case of Japan in 2003-04
Petra Gerlach-Kristen, Robert McCauley, Kazuo Ueda, 7 November 2012
One consequence of monetary easing in major economies most affected by the financial crisis is the subsequent currency appreciation in apparently separate economies that are less affected by the crisis, such as those of Japan, Switzerland, and many emerging economies.
The risk in carry trades
Lukas Menkhoff, Lucio Sarno, Maik Schmeling, Andreas Schrimpf, 23 March 2011
The “carry trade” is the most popular trading strategy in currency markets. Traders borrow in currencies with low interest rates (negative forward premium) and invest in currencies with high interest rates (positive forward premium), profiting from the margin. Yet according to the uncovered interest parity this strategy should not work.
The capital-inflow “problem” revisited
Carmen M Reinhart, Vincent Reinhart, 25 February 2011
For three decades, the predominantly prevailing presumption among economic analysts and financial authorities was that the flow of financial capital would become increasingly freer (see for example IMF 2000 and an earlier discussion in Calvo et al. 1994).
What drives reserve accumulation (and at what cost)?
Eduardo Levy Yeyati, 30 September 2010
The argument against reserve accumulation by emerging economies is often built on three premises:
- A tale of two depressions: What do the new data tell us? February 2010 updateEichengreen, O’Rourke
- The ECB’s stealth bailoutSinn
- Educated in America: College graduates and high school dropoutsHeckman, LaFontaine
- Eurozone breakup would trigger the mother of all financial crisesEichengreen
- Panic-driven austerity in the Eurozone and its implicationsDe Grauwe, Ji
Ostry, Berg, Tsangarides
Allen, Eichengreen, Evans
Greenwood, Guner, Kocharakov, Santos
CEPR Policy Research
- The buyer margins of firms' exportsCarballo, Ottaviano, Volpe
- Commodity and Equity Markets: Some Stylized Facts from a Copula ApproachDelatte, Lopez
- Ethnic Unemployment Rates and Frictional MarketsGobillon, Rupert, Wasmer
- Finance and Poverty: Evidence from IndiaAyyagari, Beck, Hoseini
- The Manipulation of Basel Risk-WeightsMariathasan, Merrouche
- Making city lights shine brighterYusuf, Leipziger
- The euro in the 'currency war'Bénassy-Quéré, Martin
- The roots of shadow bankingPerotti
- What’s wrong with Europe?Baldini, Manasse
- How the EZ crisis is permanently changing EU institutionsMicossi
- 21st Century Challenges: The Mobile Middle Class13 - 13 March 2014 / Royal Geographical Society, 1 Kensington Gore, SW7 London / Royal Geographi