The quantitative easing (QE) policies of the US Federal Reserve in the years following the crisis of 2008–2009 included monthly securities purchases of long-term Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities totalling $85 billion in 2013. The cumulative outcome of these policies has been an unprecedented increase of the monetary base, mitigating the deflationary pressure of the crisis.
The transmission of Federal Reserve tapering news to emerging financial markets
Joshua Aizenman, Mahir Binici, Michael M Hutchison, 4 April 2014
Managing the exchange rate: It's not how much, but how
Atish R Ghosh, Jonathan D Ostry, Mahvash Saeed Qureshi, 2 April 2014
The choice of exchange rate regime is a perennial issue faced by emerging markets. Conventional wisdom, especially after the emerging markets crises of the late 1990s, was the bipolar prescription: countries should choose between either floats (the soft end of the prescription) or hard pegs (monetary union, dollarisation, currency board).
Political connections in turbulent times
Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, Amir Kermani, James Kwak, Todd Mitton, 25 February 2014
When assessing the political situation in many countries, it is common practice, and entirely reasonable, to consider who has what kind of personal connection to people in, or contending for, power.
Turmoil in emerging markets: What’s missing from the story?
Kristin Forbes, 5 February 2014
Emerging markets are going through another period of volatility – and the most popular boogeyman is the US Federal Reserve.
Why fiscal sustainability matters
Willem Buiter, 10 January 2014
Does fiscal sustainability matter only when there is a fiscal house on fire, as was the case with the Greek sovereign insolvency in 2011–12? Far from it.
Topics: Financial markets, Global crisis, International finance, Macroeconomic policy
Tags: balance-sheet recession, banking, banking union, banks, capital flows, credit booms, Currency wars, emerging markets, eurozone, Eurozone crisis, financial crisis, fiscal policy, fiscal sustainability, global financial crisis, sovereign debt, sovereign debt restructuring
The next sudden stop
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, 7 January 2014
The ominous facts are well known – the strongest predictors of financial crises are domestic credit booms and external debts (Reinhart and Rogoff 2011). In emerging markets, credit booms are generally preceded by large capital inflows (Reinhart and Reinhart 2010).
Tapering talk: The impact of expectations of reduced Federal Reserve security purchases on emerging markets
Barry Eichengreen, Poonam Gupta, 19 December 2013
In May 2013, Federal Reserve officials first began to talk of the possibility of the US central bank tapering its securities purchases from $85 billion a month to something lower. A milestone to which many observers point is 22 May 2013, when Chairman Bernanke raised the possibility of tapering in his testimony to Congress.
A new eBook: Understanding Banks in Emerging Markets
Thorsten Beck, Ralph De Haas, Steven Ongena, 6 November 2013
Banking is often modelled as a black box – especially banks in emerging markets where details of bank operations are less widely appreciated.
Offshoring and its effects on innovation in emerging economies
Ursula Fritsch, Holger Görg, 23 September 2013
Most empirical studies of the impact of outsourcing on firms look at industrialised countries. However, outsourcing is also common in emerging economies, and firms in middle-income countries split up their production processes similarly to firms in developed countries (see figures in Miroudot et al. (2009) on trade in intermediates).
Fundamentals and sovereign risk of emerging markets
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Donghyun Park, 14 July 2013
In striking contrast to advanced economies, which still remain mired in stagnation and uncertainty, emerging markets are once again growing at a healthy pace despite remaining exposed to growth deceleration due to the persistent weaknesses of advanced economies.
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Mulgan, 11 April 2014
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CEPR Policy Research
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